Brin: Singularities, Nightmares, and Japanese Sci-Fi
Julia Thompson
degges at chiba.3jane.net
Mon Mar 31 09:13:04 PDT 2008
On Mon, 31 Mar 2008, Wayne Eddy wrote:
> Hi, KZK, everyone,
>
> Just because animation is so labour intensive now, doesn't mean that it
> will be in 5 or 10 or 15 years time. In fact it almost certainly won't
> be. To say that a dedicated professional studio will always be
> necessary to produce a quality animated features fails to take into
> account the current rate of technological progess. Eventually expert
> systems will enable a single person to do the work of a team, and not
> long after that AI's will be capable of reading a script and then
> generating a feature film without any human input.
Just seeing what the time decrease has been in 3 years for static digital
art, I believe you. Your timeline may not be quite right, but Moore's Law
plus software improvements plus more software specially written for the
purpose will lead there.
Julia
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